Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Legia Warsaw		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.44	4.5	7	Watch
	1.47	4.52	7.07
	1.48	4.53	7.07
	1.46	4.45	6.55
	1.42	4.8	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	4.55 ↑ (4.31)	6.98 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
65.5%

Draw
20.9%

Zrinjski Mostar
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

22.3%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	15%	5%

Legia Warsaw - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hladun D. (G) 12. Pankov R. 8. Augustyniak R. 3. Kapuadi S. 13. Wszolek P. 22. Elitim J. 21. Celhaka J. 33. Kun P. 27. Josue (C) 7. Pekhart T. 20. Muci E.	35. Maric M. (G) 6. Corluka J. 27. Jakovljevic S. 15. Radic S. 50. Memija K. 5. Canadjija D. 95. Senic M. 20. Ivancic A. 17. Malekinusic M. 99. Bilbija N. (C) 25. Cuze M.
Substitutes
4. Burch M. 17. Gil Dias 28. Gual M. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 67. Kapustka B. 9. Kramer B. 5. Ribeiro Y. 39. Rosolek M. 99. Slisz B. 18. Sokolowski P. 86. Strzalek I. 1. Tobiasz K. (G)	14. Balic A. 26. Bradaric F. 22. Hrvanovic A. 10. Kis T. 2. Marin L. 24. Misic P. 29. Prskalo A. 9. Sabljic F. 1. Sefo A. (G) 8. Zlomislic D.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Rendulic K.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Legia have a series of guest games.

In this match Legia is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Legia: Kapustka B. (Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Zrinjski: Magdic M. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Legia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.11.23	Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.11.23	GKS Tychy - Legia Warsaw	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.10.23	Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.10.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Legia Warsaw	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWL
- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
05.11.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Tuzla City	3:1 ✺
Bosnian Cup
02.11.23	Čelik Zenica - Zrinjski Mostar	0:6 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
29.10.23	Posušje - Zrinjski Mostar	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
22.10.23	Borac Banja Luka - Zrinjski Mostar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Legia Warsaw	1:2
UEFA Champions League
19.07.16	Legia Warsaw - Zrinjski Mostar	2:0
12.07.16	Zrinjski Mostar - Legia Warsaw	1:1

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