Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 12

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Legionovia Legionowo		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.1
				Watch
	1.98	3.53	3.03
	1.99	3.68	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.62)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.95 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legionovia Legionowo
44.3%

Draw
25.2%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

25.7%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

25.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legionovia Legionowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legionovia Legionowo's performance.

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia II Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legionovia Legionowo than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legionovia Legionowo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jagiellonia II Białystok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Legionovia Legionowo - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legionowo won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Jagiellonia II have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Legionowo won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Legionowo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Legionovia Legionowo
Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.10.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
29.09.23	Wikielec - Legionovia Legionowo	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Warta Sieradz	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Victoria Sulejówek - Legionovia Legionowo	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Legionovia Legionowo - ŁKS Łomża	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.10.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Korona Kielce	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.09.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Victoria Sulejówek	2:2 ✺
20.09.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.04.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legionovia Legionowo	4:0
10.09.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:1
28.11.21	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legionovia Legionowo	3:4
07.08.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0
16.06.21	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legionovia Legionowo	1:5
08.05.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:1
06.03.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1

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