Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 13

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Mario Sandrini (Legnago)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Legnago Salus		Perugia

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	1.8
	4.2	3.3	1.85
	4.37	3.35	1.86
	3.94	3.34	1.96	Watch
	4	3.25	1.8
	4.02	3.3	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.88)	3.3 ↑ (3.26)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Legnago Salus
22.5%

Draw
27.8%

Perugia
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

27.8%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Legnago Salus - Perugia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rigon A. (G) 27. Ampollini F. 99. Basso Ricci A. 10. Demirovic E. 93. Franzolini A. 30. Ibrahim O. 77. Martic M. 23. Muteba V. 7. Palazzino F. 6. Pelagatti C. (C) 21. Ruggeri G.	1. Gemello L. (G) 16. Bartolomei P. 98. Giraudo F. 4. Leo D. 23. Lisi F. 10. Matos 94. Mezzoni F. 9. Montevago D. 67. Plaia M. 20. Ricci F. 24. Torrasi E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Martic M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Demirovic E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 1 - 1, Montevago D. ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, Sylla Y. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Martic M. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Legnago Salus is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Perugia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Perugia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Perugia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.24	Rimini - Legnago Salus	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Legnago Salus - Sassari Torres	2:3 ✺
20.10.24	Milan Futuro - Legnago Salus	1:3 ✺
13.10.24	Legnago Salus - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Virtus Entella - Legnago Salus	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLL
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
30.10.24	Sassari Torres - Perugia	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Perugia - Milan Futuro	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Ascoli - Perugia	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Perugia - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Perugia - Lucchese	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
17.02.21	Perugia - Legnago Salus	4:0
21.10.20	Legnago Salus - Perugia	0:2

Upcoming Matches