Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 17

Date: 8 December 2023, Friday


	Legnago Salus		Novara

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.85
	2.4	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.35	2.98	2.99
	2.35	2.89	2.99
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.33	2.98	2.97
	2.33	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.01)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.94 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnago Salus
38.8%

Draw
30.4%

Novara
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

29.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legnago Salus's form might have worsened.

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legnago Salus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Legnago Salus - Novara Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Legnago Salus will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Novara will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legnago Salus: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 6. Pelagatti C. 13. Motoc A. 26. Noce M. 14. Travaglini M. 77. Martic M. 5. Viero F. 21. Ruggeri G. 8. van Ransbeeck K. 20. Giani E. 10. Rocco D.	31. Desjardins A. (G) 26. Boccia S. 5. Bonaccorsi S. 6. Bertoncini D. 3. Urso O. 16. Calcagni R. 21. Ranieri R. 8. Di Munno A. 10. Donadio C. 11. Corti N. 33. D'Orazio L.
Substitutes
29. Buric N. 12. Businarolo M. (G) 25. Casarotti E. 19. Diaby A. 36. Franzolini A. 18. Sambou B. 4. Sbampato E. 30. Sternieri A. 9. Svidercoschi S. 99. Tabue K. 22. Tosi R. (G) 11. Zanetti L.	98. Bagatti N. 12. Boscolo Palo G. (G) 25. Gerbino S. 22. Menegaldo T. (G) 30. Migliardi F. 4. Prinelli L. 9. Scappini S. 17. Scaringi M. 24. Speranza M.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Legnago Salus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Novara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group A
03.12.23	Pro Sesto - Legnago Salus	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Legnago Salus - Pro Patria	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Legnago Salus - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Lumezzane - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Legnago Salus - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWTT
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
03.12.23	Novara - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Lumezzane - Novara	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Novara - Pergolettese	2:1 ✺
13.11.23	Pro Vercelli - Novara	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.11.23	Novara - Pontedera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TTWTL

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