Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Vercelli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Pro Vercelli		Novara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.98	2.88	Watch
	2.65	2.95	3.02
	2.55	2.88	2.88	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.75
	2.51	2.79	2.81	Watch
	2.57	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.45)	2.87 ↓ (3.12)	2.87 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Vercelli
36.1%

Draw
32%

Novara
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

29.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Vercelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Pro Vercelli - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Livieri A. (G) 18. Piran L. 5. Marchetti S. 3. Coccolo L. 19. Furno C. 8. Burruano A. 4. El Bouchataoui A. 14. Iotti I. 92. Akpa Akpro J. 26. Comi G. (C) 11. Sow A.	1. Boseggia E. (G) 71. D'Alessio L. 15. Khailoti O. 26. Lorenzini F. (C) 17. Dell'Erba D. 19. Collodel R. 99. Basso G. 8. Di Cosmo L. 11. Ledonne N. 10. Donadio C. 9. Alberti T.
Substitutes
41. Boufandar A. 28. Carosso A. 44. Clemente G. 9. Coppola G. 77. Del Favero M. (G) 7. Mallahi M. 23. Perotti C. 29. Pino E. 91. Regonesi I. 16. Ronchi N. 33. Rosin D. 10. Rutigliano M. 21. Sow O. 32. Zacchera G.	72. Agyemang G. 36. Arboscello R. 28. Cannavaro A. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 7. Lanini E. 3. Lartey S. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 21. Ranieri R. 12. Rossetti M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Akpa Akpro J. ⚽,
25', Iotti I. 🟨,
33', Dell'Erba D. ↓, Agyemang G. ↑,
45+3', Burruano A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Donadio C. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
61', Di Cosmo L. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
62', Furno C. 🟨,
68', Sow A. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
69', Furno C. ↓, Carosso A. ↑,
70', Lorenzini F. 🟨,
77', Comi G. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
84', Collodel R. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
85', El Bouchataoui A. 🟨,
90+2', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Pino E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Vercelli won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Novara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pro Vercelli won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pro Vercelli won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9
14	Pro Vercelli	9	2	3	4	8:13	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Vercelli - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.55%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
24.01.26	Virtus Verona - Pro Vercelli	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Pro Vercelli - Brescia	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Pro Vercelli - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Pro Vercelli - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLWL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
25.01.26	Novara - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Trento - Novara	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Novara - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Inter U23 - Novara	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Novara - Ospitaletto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.25	Novara - Pro Vercelli	0:1
03.02.25	Pro Vercelli - Novara	1:0
24.09.24	Novara - Pro Vercelli	1:0
16.03.24	Novara - Pro Vercelli	2:2
13.11.23	Pro Vercelli - Novara	3:3
29.01.23	Novara - Pro Vercelli	0:1
24.09.22	Pro Vercelli - Novara	1:2

Pro Vercelli - Novara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide