Match Info

Date: 16 January 2021, Saturday


	Leioa		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.8	2.4
	2.88	2.95	2.4
	3.05	2.85	2.31
	3.44	2.97	2.37
	3.2	2.9	2.3
	3.13	2.98	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.92)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)	2.36 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leioa
29.6%

Draw
31.5%

Real Sociedad B
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

31.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

22.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leioa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leioa - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Promotion Group)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Leioa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Leioa have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Leioa won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Leioa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.01.21	Leioa - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
20.12.20	Laredo - Leioa	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Leioa - Villarreal	0:6 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.12.20	Leioa - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
02.12.20	Leioa - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLLTW
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.01.21	Alavés B - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
03.01.21	Real Sociedad B - Racing Santander	4:1 ✺
19.12.20	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
12.12.20	Portugalete - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.10.20	Real Sociedad B - Leioa	1:0
08.02.20	Leioa - Real Sociedad B	0:2
22.09.19	Real Sociedad B - Leioa	4:3
30.03.19	Leioa - Real Sociedad B	1:0
10.11.18	Real Sociedad B - Leioa	1:2
23.03.18	Leioa - Real Sociedad B	0:2
31.10.17	Real Sociedad B - Leioa	0:0

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