Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday


	Real Unión de Irun		Leioa

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.9	4
	1.95	2.88	4.1
	1.96	2.95	3.8
	2	3.21	4.15
	2.1	3	3.6
	1.96	3.18	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.89)	3.02 ↑ (2.97)	3.93 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
46.3%

Draw
30.3%

Leioa
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

30.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.2%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leioa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Unión de Irun - Leioa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Promotion Group) and 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Relegation Group)).

Real Unión is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leioa is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real Unión could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Leioa have a series of home games.

Real Unión will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Unión won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.01.21	Alavés B - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
13.01.21	Racing Santander - Real Unión de Irun	1:3 ✺
10.01.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
20.12.20	Real Unión de Irun - Portugalete	2:1 ✺
05.12.20	Real Unión de Irun - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWTWT
- SD Leioa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.01.21	Leioa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
09.01.21	Leioa - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
20.12.20	Laredo - Leioa	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Leioa - Villarreal	0:6 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.12.20	Leioa - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.10.20	Leioa - Real Unión de Irun	0:1
01.12.19	Real Unión de Irun - Leioa	0:0
26.01.19	Leioa - Real Unión de Irun	0:1
09.09.18	Real Unión de Irun - Leioa	1:2
07.04.18	Leioa - Real Unión de Irun	0:0
12.11.17	Real Unión de Irun - Leioa	1:3
18.02.17	Leioa - Real Unión de Irun	2:0

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