The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
AVS 23.9%
Draw 27%
Tondela 49.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.2%
28.6%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
28.1%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tondela's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tondela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
AVS - Tondela Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tondela will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rebollo D. (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 3. Rosic L. 26. Conde B. 12. Rivas D. 70. Roni (C) 88. Almeida F. 80. Hiago Santos 19. Rafael Lobato 7. Neiva G. 30. Talles Wander
28. Carlao (G) 15. Carraca 4. Marques C. 6. Farru 12. Ze Ricardo 8. Tavares H. (C) 37. Mateus Sarara 26. van der Heide A. 20. Felix H. 7. Cascavel 19. Tomane
Substitutes
78. Andrey 22. Brasido D. 4. Davi Schuindt 8. Meireles J. 17. Ndo R. 49. Pimentel P. 6. Ponck 25. Raul Steffens (G) 9. Rodrigo Pinho 20. Ruan Assis 28. Sousa A.
10. Addo H. 5. Afonso J. 22. Almeida B. 2. Bebeto 1. Canizares L. (G) 14. Huarte X. 9. Joao Lima 3. Kamga I. 17. Novero G. 21. Ramalho G. 13. Sithole Y. 77. Tiago Dias
Coaches
Fonseca S.
Costa R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Mateus Sarara 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Hiago Santos ⚽,
6', Almeida F. 🟨,
15', Carraca 🟨,
18', Hiago Santos 🟨,
27', Neiva G. 🟨,
36', Felix H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Felix H. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
46', Carraca ↓, Bebeto ↑,
56', Rivas D. 🟨,
68', Almeida F. ↓, Pimentel P. ↑,
69', Rafael Lobato ↓, Ndo R. ↑,
69', Tavares H. ↓, Sithole Y. ↑,
70', Mateus Pivo 🟨,
76', Rivas D. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
76', Neiva G. ↓, Brasido D. ↑,
76', Mateus Pivo ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
76', van der Heide A. ↓, Addo H. ↑,
76', Mateus Sarara ↓, Joao Lima ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Meireles J. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Bebeto ⚽,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 7th).
AVS has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tondela is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
AVS could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Tondela is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, AVS has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for AVS against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Watch
#ad
Rebollo D. (G) 
Mateus Pivo 
Rosic L. 
Conde B. 
Rivas D. 
Almeida F. 
Tavares H. (C) 
van der Heide A. 
Ndo R. 
Addo H. 
Kamga I. 
Novero G. 
Sithole Y. 
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
