Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves) 🌤️ ...


	AVS		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2
	3.25	3.10	2.05
	3.25	3.15	2.12
	3.43	3.38	2.19
	3.21	3.32	2.11
	3.2	3.3	2.11
	3.24	3.32	2.13
	3.3	3.3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.58)	3.26 ↓ (3.31)	2.11 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
28.2%

Draw
28.2%

Moreirense
43.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.5%

27.6%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

24.6%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

AVS - Moreirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Raul Steffens (G) 26. Conde B. 3. Rosic L. 12. Rivas D. 97. Mateus Pivo 80. Hiago Santos 70. Roni 88. Almeida F. 30. Talles Wander 9. Rodrigo Pinho 19. Rafael Lobato	13. Ferreira A. (G) 2. Santos L. 4. Kevyn Monteiro 26. Maracas 27. Kiko 23. John N. 65. Guilherme Liberato 10. Bondoso K. 20. Veloso J. 19. Andrade T. 79. Vonic L.
Substitutes
22. Brasido D. 4. Davi Schuindt 8. Meireles J. 17. Ndo R. 7. Neiva G. 49. Pimentel P. 6. Ponck 1. Rebollo D. (G) 28. Sousa A.	1. Aranha (G) 66. Batista G. 11. Landerson 17. Martinez A. 7. Mendonca M. 21. Rodri 28. Songa C. 8. Stjepanovic M. 99. Yan Maranhao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Pinho ⚽,
42', Maracas 🟥,
43', Guilherme Liberato 🟨,
45+1', Bondoso K. ↓, Batista G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Roni 🟨,
58', Mateus Pivo ↓, Brasido D. ↑,
61', Santos L. ↓, Mendonca M. ↑,
61', Vonic L. ↓, Landerson ↑,
61', John N. ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
62', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
74', Veloso J. ↓, Rodri ↑,
79', Rivas D. ↓, Ponck ↑,
79', Rosic L. ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
79', Roni ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
83', Brasido D. 🟨,
90', Almeida F. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

AVS is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Moreirense is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Moreirense is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, AVS has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:6 (averaging 0.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AVS against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:5 goals (averaging 0:2.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
09.10.26	Penafiel - AVS	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Sintrense - AVS	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.26	AVS - Farense	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Lusitânia - AVS	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	AVS - Feirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTLW
- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
09.10.26	Moreirense - Gil Vicente	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Moreirense - Marítimo	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Moreirense - Benfica	0:4 ✺
04.09.26	Porto - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Moreirense - AVS	0:0
03.01.26	AVS - Moreirense	0:2
17.05.25	AVS - Moreirense	0:3
04.01.25	Moreirense - AVS	1:1

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