Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 8

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Leiston		Peterborough Sports

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.40	2.90
	2.08	3.35	2.9
	2.09	3.45	3.09
	2.14	3.6	3.08	Watch
	2.06	3.4	3.05
	2.12	3.62	3.1
	2.12	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.3)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)	3.01 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
43.5%

Draw
26.2%

Peterborough Sports
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.5%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Peterborough Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Leiston - Peterborough Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Miller L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Lobjoit L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 8th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Leiston has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:21 (averaging 1.2:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leiston against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 4:12 goals (averaging 1:3 per game).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Peterborough Sports: 1.36% Leiston: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Peterborough Sports	10	4	4	2	19:15	4	16
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	17:17	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Peterborough Sports - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.41%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
12.09.26	Banbury United - Leiston	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Bury Town - Leiston	4:3 ✺
29.08.26	Leiston - Redditch United	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Stourbridge - Leiston	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Leiston - Rushall Olympic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWTL
- Peterborough Sports FC
English Southern League Central Division
12.09.26	Peterborough Sports - Rushall Olympic	4:2 ✺
31.08.26	Needham Market - Peterborough Sports	3:3 ✺
28.08.26	Peterborough Sports - Anstey Nomads	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Kettering Town - Peterborough Sports	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Peterborough Sports - Stourbridge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
21.11.23	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	1:4
English Southern League Central Division
23.04.22	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	0:0
11.09.21	Peterborough Sports - Leiston	1:2
17.10.20	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	1:4
14.12.19	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	2:4
28.09.19	Peterborough Sports - Leiston	8:1

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