Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday


	Leiston		Lowestoft Town

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.7	3
	1.93	3.75	3.2
	1.93	3.82	3.27
	1.97	3.85	3.36	Watch
	2	3.5	3
	1.91	3.68	3.3
	1.93	3.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)	3.72 ↓ (3.79)	3.19 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
46.9%

Draw
24.5%

Lowestoft Town
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

23.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

23.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Lowestoft Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Leiston - Lowestoft Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Quantrell G. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Loza J. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Duffy J. ⚽,
45+4', 3 - 1, Loza J. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
52', 4 - 1, Fowkes B. ⚽,
64', 5 - 1, Clements K. ⚽,
72', 5 - 2, Aldous S. ⚽,
76', 6 - 2, Quantrell G. ⚽,
88', 7 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiston won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leiston will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Leiston won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:21 (average 1.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Leiston won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
21.12.24	Bishops Stortford - Leiston	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Leiston - Stourbridge	0:3 ✺
30.11.24	Leiston - AFC Telford United	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Kettering Town - Leiston	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	St Ives Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLLW
- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.12.24	Lowestoft Town - St Ives Town	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Bedford Town - Lowestoft Town	4:2 ✺
03.12.24	Lowestoft Town - Biggleswade Town	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Banbury United - Lowestoft Town	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Stourbridge - Lowestoft Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
27.12.21	Lowestoft Town - Leiston	3:5
30.08.21	Leiston - Lowestoft Town	4:2
26.12.19	Lowestoft Town - Leiston	1:3
22.04.19	Leiston - Lowestoft Town	0:4
01.01.19	Lowestoft Town - Leiston	1:2
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.12.17	Leiston - Lowestoft Town	0:1
28.08.17	Lowestoft Town - Leiston	0:2

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