Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Leiston		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.37
	2.5	3.55	2.34
	2.58	3.67	2.39
	2.38	3.6	2.38
	2.55	3.55	2.38
	2.45	3.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.38)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	2.38 (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
36.5%

Draw
25.4%

Tamworth
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

22.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Leiston - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiston won 2.

Leiston in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tamworth is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leiston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Leiston won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiston won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
05.11.22	Hednesford Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Leiston - Wroxham	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
25.10.22	Leiston - Rushden & Diamonds	5:1 ✺
22.10.22	Leiston - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Bromsgrove Sporting - Leiston	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWTW
- Tamworth
English Southern League Central Division
08.11.22	Needham Market - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Tamworth - Redditch United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Liversedge - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
25.10.22	Tamworth - Royston Town	3:0 ✺
22.10.22	Tamworth - Hitchin Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.03.22	Leiston - Tamworth	1:1
23.10.21	Tamworth - Leiston	1:3
18.01.20	Tamworth - Leiston	1:2
English FA Trophy
26.10.19	Tamworth - Leiston	4:0
English Southern League Central Division
24.08.19	Leiston - Tamworth	1:2
20.04.19	Tamworth - Leiston	5:0
25.08.18	Leiston - Tamworth	2:2

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