Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday


	Leiston		Rushden & Diamonds

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.4	6.25
	1.41	4.4	4.8
	1.38	4.7	5.8
	1.41	5.01	5.86
	1.38	4.75	6.3
	1.4	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)	4.67 ↑ (4.2)	5.84 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
65.1%

Draw
19.4%

Rushden & Diamonds
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.5%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

20.1%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rushden & Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rushden & Diamonds than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Leiston - Rushden & Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leiston will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Rushden & Diamonds will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiston won 1.

Leiston in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rushden & Diamonds is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leiston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leiston is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leiston to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Leiston won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiston won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
22.10.22	Leiston - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Bromsgrove Sporting - Leiston	1:7 ✺
10.10.22	Hitchin Town - Leiston	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Leiston - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
27.09.22	Leiston - Bedford Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWW
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds
English Southern League Central Division
22.10.22	Mickleover Sports - Rushden & Diamonds	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Redditch United	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Nuneaton Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Tamworth	0:4 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
01.10.22	Hednesford Town - Rushden & Diamonds	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
02.04.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Leiston	3:3
16.11.21	Leiston - Rushden & Diamonds	2:1
06.10.20	Leiston - Rushden & Diamonds	2:2
11.01.20	Leiston - Rushden & Diamonds	2:3
13.08.19	Rushden & Diamonds - Leiston	5:1
16.02.19	Rushden & Diamonds - Leiston	1:1
01.12.18	Leiston - Rushden & Diamonds	1:4

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