Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Hednesford Town		Leiston

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.35
	2.39	3.7	2.37
	2.41	4.03	2.45
	2.45	3.58	2.46
	2.55	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.72)	3.66 ↑ (3.43)	2.4 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
37.2%

Draw
24.9%

Leiston
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

26.3%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

26%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Hednesford Town - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Hednesford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leiston in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Hednesford have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Hednesford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Hednesford Town - Stourbridge	4:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
25.10.22	Hednesford Town - Barwell	2:2 ✺
22.10.22	Hednesford Town - Royston Town	3:3 ✺
18.10.22	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Hitchin Town - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTLT
- Leiston
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Leiston - Wroxham	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
25.10.22	Leiston - Rushden & Diamonds	5:1 ✺
22.10.22	Leiston - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Bromsgrove Sporting - Leiston	1:7 ✺
10.10.22	Hitchin Town - Leiston	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
04.12.21	Hednesford Town - Leiston	4:0
25.09.21	Leiston - Hednesford Town	2:1
12.11.19	Leiston - Hednesford Town	0:3

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