The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leixões 34.2%
Draw 30.3%
Vizela 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
28.9%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
29.1%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leixões's performance.
Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vizela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leixões that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vizela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Leixões - Vizela Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vizela will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Tabuaco G. (G) 63. Faria H. 14. Matheus Costa 3. Figueiredo L. 77. Paulinho (C) 66. Balde A. 22. Araujo C. 15. Simaozinho 11. Agra S. 35. Rochez B. 9. Bica
1. Gomis A. (G) 77. Jojo 55. Hristov A. 4. Rhyner J. (C) 20. Godwin O. 22. Busnic A. 5. Moha Moukhliss 36. Lacava M. 24. Morschel H. 7. Loppy D. 29. Kitala Y.
Substitutes
27. Barbosa R. 13. Evrard Zag 2. Fonseca F. 20. Miguel Sousa 28. Pina R. 44. Semeu 51. Stefanovic I. (G) 91. Valente R. 7. Werton
8. Bastunov A. 18. Demchenko N. 23. Fortune Y. 40. Italo Henrique 45. Ivanov H. 21. Ramos R. 13. Rocha L. 92. Souza P. (G) 11. Thio
Coaches
Fangueiro C.
Silva N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Rhyner J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Godwin O. 🟨,
56', Paulinho 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Morschel H. ⚽,
64', 0 - 2, Busnic A. ⚽,
65', Figueiredo L. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
70', Loppy D. ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
70', Godwin O. ↓, Italo Henrique ↑,
70', Agra S. ↓, Werton ↑,
70', Araujo C. ↓, Pina R. ↑,
70', Faria H. ↓, Semeu ↑,
80', Ramos R. 🟨,
82', Kitala Y. 🟨,
82', Rochez B. ↓, Valente R. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Bica ⚽,
87', Kitala Y. ↓, Ivanov H. ↑,
87', Lacava M. ↓, Thio ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 0.
Leixões is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vizela's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Leixões will win today's game, with odds of 2.94.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).