Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira (Alcochete)

Referee: Brazao M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon B		Leixões

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.1	3.2	2.95
	2.2	3.25	3.1
	2.24	3.5	3.21
	2.19	3.5	3.12	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.19	3.35	3.14
	2.2	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.26)	3.28 ↓ (3.42)	3.08 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
42.2%

Draw
28%

Leixões
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Sporting Lisbon B - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sporting B will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting B (votes: 2 - 50%). Leixões (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sporting B (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting B (votes: 3 - 60%). Leixões (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Diego Callai (G) 70. Blopa S. 54. Bruno Ramos 45. Moreira D. (C) 50. Dias R. 58. Goncalves F. 96. Justo S. 40. Tanlongo M. 87. Cardoso P. 78. Couto M. 82. Silva G.	99. Tabuaco G. (G) 77. Paulinho (C) 44. Semeu 14. Matheus Costa 15. Simaozinho 66. Balde A. 20. Miguel Sousa 22. Araujo C. 27. Barbosa R. 35. Rochez B. 9. Bica
Substitutes
67. Anjos L. 83. Bafdili Z. 73. Felicissimo E. 88. Mendonca M. 76. Migueis P. (G) 90. Nel R. 60. Rayan Lucas 49. Romulus 95. Taibo Dominguez L.	11. Agra S. 13. Evrard Zag 63. Faria H. 2. Fonseca F. 8. Neto 28. Pina R. 51. Stefanovic I. (G) 91. Valente R. 7. Werton
Coaches
Joao Giao	Fangueiro C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Bica ⚽,
21', Balde A. 🟨,
43', Balde A. 🟨,
45+2', Miguel Sousa 🟨,
45+9', Rochez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Miguel Sousa ↓, Evrard Zag ↑,
46', Silva G. ↓, Nel R. ↑,
53', Goncalves F. 🟨,
58', Tanlongo M. ↓, Bafdili Z. ↑,
67', Barbosa R. ↓, Agra S. ↑,
67', Rochez B. ↓, Werton ↑,
74', Blopa S. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
74', Dias R. ↓, Felicissimo E. ↑,
74', Justo S. ↓, Mendonca M. ↑,
76', Paulinho 🟨,
83', Matheus Costa ↓, Faria H. ↑,
86', Bica ↓, Valente R. ↑,
90+4', Tabuaco G. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sporting B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sporting B might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting B won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8:6	2	12
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Lisbon B - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.34%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Leixões - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.35%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2
21.02.26	Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Portimonense	4:3 ✺
10.02.26	Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon B	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWL
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
20.02.26	Leixões - Vizela	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Farense - Leixões	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Leixões - Feirense	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Penafiel - Leixões	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Leixões - Benfica B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
05.10.25	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B	0:4
18.03.18	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1
29.10.17	Sporting Lisbon B - Leixões	1:1
19.03.17	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2
23.10.16	Sporting Lisbon B - Leixões	2:1
17.02.16	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B	3:1
16.09.15	Sporting Lisbon B - Leixões	3:1

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