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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon B 49%
Draw 27.1%
Portimonense 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
26.3%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
26.5%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Sporting Lisbon B - Portimonense Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting B (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sporting Lisbon B will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Diego Callai (G) 50. Dias R. 43. Muniz J. 54. Bruno Ramos 45. Moreira D. (C) 40. Tanlongo M. 96. Justo S. 78. Couto M. 60. Rayan Lucas 87. Cardoso P. 82. Silva G.
26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 73. Junior M. 37. Mateus Sarara 2. Abel A. 31. Edney 15. Xavier 47. Cagro W. 17. Joao Reis (C) 16. Thauan Lara 19. Dju M. 7. Djassi D.
Substitutes
83. Bafdili Z. 70. Blopa S. 73. Felicissimo E. 59. Kaua Oliveira 75. Kissanga M. 88. Mendonca M. 74. Pires G. (G) 49. Romulus 95. Taibo Dominguez L.
90. Canario F. 66. Canji A. 77. Cibois S. (G) 21. Dauda M. 22. De Bolle L. 40. Joao Vitor 50. Kait K. 6. Neves S. 65. Wellington Santana (G)
Coaches
Joao Giao
Fernandes T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Bruno Ramos ⚽,
33', Cardoso P. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Cagro W. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Mateus Sarara ⚽,
45+2', Abel A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Rayan Lucas ↓, Felicissimo E. ↑,
46', Muniz J. ↓, Blopa S. ↑,
49', 2 - 2, Blopa S. ⚽,
53', Junior M. 🟨,
64', Tanlongo M. ↓, Mendonca M. ↑,
64', Mendonca M. 🟨,
67', Mateus Sarara (Penalty Awarded),
71', 3 - 2, Cardoso P. ⚽,
75', Abel A. ↓, Neves S. ↑,
79', Couto M. ↓, Bafdili Z. ↑,
81', 4 - 2, Justo S. ⚽,
85', Justo S. ↓, Kaua Oliveira ↑,
85', Joao Reis ↓, Dauda M. ↑,
86', Thauan Lara ↓, Canario F. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 3, Dju M. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Sporting B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sporting B is the team to beat.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Sporting CP B
6
4
0
2
8:6
2
12
11
Portimonense
6
2
1
3
4:6
-2
7
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting Lisbon B - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.75%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Diego Callai (G) 
Dias R. 
Moreira D. (C) 
Tanlongo M. 
Abel A. 
Cagro W. 
Djassi D. 
Taibo Dominguez L. 
Cibois S. (G) 
Dauda M. 
De Bolle L. 
Kait K. 
