Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday
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 |
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Lenense |
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San Martín |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.82 |
2.88 |
2.42 |
|
 |
3.03 |
2.37 |
3.03 |
 Watch |
 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
|
 |
2.97 |
2.78 |
2.47 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(2.98) |
2.68 ↓
(2.94) |
2.61 ↑
(2.35) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lenense
31.1% | Draw
34% | San Martín
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (+4.1%)Lenense - San Martín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Lenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | EI San Martin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 | | | 12.10.25 | San Martín - Lenense | 2:1 | | 17.04.25 | Lenense - San Martín | 1:1 | | 06.12.24 | San Martín - Lenense | 2:1 | | 27.02.22 | Lenense - San Martín | 1:2 | | 12.10.21 | San Martín - Lenense | 0:1 |
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