Match Info

FNL - Round 6

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad)

Referee: Ziyakov R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leningradets		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	3.34	3.29	2.27
	3.15	3.25	2.3
	3.29	3.24	2.19	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.46)	3.22 ↑ (3.19)	2.21 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leningradets
28.7%

Draw
29%

Arsenal Tula
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

29.4%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

29.2%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Leningradets - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smirnov E. (G) 44. Kalugin N. 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 78. Kiselev G. 99. Emelyanov D. 6. Rodin D. 32. Kulishev A. 14. Kenfak O. 5. Morozov K. 77. Bachinskiy M.	42. Melikhov A. (G) 77. Plotnikov D. 4. Penchikov D. 45. Karmaev N. 5. Krashevskiy Y. 21. Razdorskikh N. 25. Biryukov A. 8. Shamkin D. 19. Glushkov N. 17. Gorbunov I. 11. Magomedov R.
Substitutes
37. Isaev K. 96. Kuznetsov A. (G) 19. Maksetsov A. 2. Nikolaev S. 9. Pershin M. 52. Petukhov I. 7. Ukomskiy A. 11. Yakovlev D. 10. Zarypbekov E.	82. Alekhin A. 35. Enin I. 24. Gotsuk K. 44. Isaenko O. 36. Levashov M. (G) 23. Melekestsev T. 7. Tamarindo 18. Tsulaya M. (G) 22. Uridia G. 75. Zhamaletdinov T. 10. Zhigulev I.
Coaches
Podpaliy S.	Gunko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Biryukov A. 🟨,
25', Botaka-Yoboma E. ↓, Isaev K. ↑,
42', Kiselev G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kiselev G. ↓, Nikolaev S. ↑,
71', Kenfak O. 🟨,
75', Razdorskikh N. 🟨,
76', Shamkin D. ↓, Tamarindo ↑,
76', Magomedov R. ↓, Melekestsev T. ↑,
82', Kenfak O. ↓, Pershin M. ↑,
83', Bachinskiy M. ↓, Yakovlev D. ↑,
83', Morozov K. ↓, Zarypbekov E. ↑,
83', Biryukov A. ↓, Zhamaletdinov T. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Rostec Arena.

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).

Recent form of Leningradets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arsenal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arsenal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leningradets won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Leningradets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Arsenal Tula: 0.78% Leningradets: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Arsenal Tula	12	3	4	5	12:22	-10	13
13	Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10:20	-10	13

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal Tula - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.41%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL
09.08.26	Veles Moscow - Leningradets	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Leningradets - Sochi	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Leningradets - Ural	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Shinnik - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Ufa - Leningradets	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWTLL
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
08.08.26	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Sochi - Arsenal Tula	5:0 ✺
19.07.26	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1 ✺
13.07.26	Arsenal Tula - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
16.05.24	Leningradets - Arsenal Tula	1:1
16.07.23	Arsenal Tula - Leningradets	0:0

Upcoming Matches