Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 13

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Referee: Ziyakov R. (Rus)


	Leningradets		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.15	3.51
	2.13	3.24	3.32	Watch
	2.07	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.47)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leningradets
43.5%

Draw
29.2%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

30.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+3%)

Leningradets - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Karabashev N. (G) 77. Bachinski M. 6. Beljaev M. 17. Kaptilov V. 97. Khityaev A. 19. Kolesnichenko K. 22. Levin M. 9. Rozmanov N. 21. Shepelev V. 18. Sukhanov E. (C) 33. Yakovlev A.	1. Frolkin D. (G) 9. Abakarov M. 24. Budagyan Y. 90. Deljkin A. 17. Fomin D. 15. Grechkin A. (C) 3. Khagur R. 77. Korobov D. 30. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Kumburovic N. 19. Rudenko V.
Substitutes
3. Bulygin I. 8. Gorulev V. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 11. Markin M. 41. Mikushin V. 2. Nikolaev S. 37. Sirotov V. 1. Smirnov E. (G) 73. Sokolov D. 91. Zaytsev A. (G)	96. Adaev V. 7. Antonov A. 47. Filippov M. (G) 5. Garaev V. 27. Gurchenko D. 13. Kirilenko V. 21. Klimov N. 10. Magomedov Z. 14. Maklakov I. 8. Panamarev N. 11. Saaduev S. 16. Tyurin M. (G)
Coaches
Kiryakov S.	Zyryanov K.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Leningradets is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chernomorets is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL
01.10.23	Torpedo Moscow - Leningradets	2:3 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	KAMAZ - Leningradets	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Khimki - Leningradets	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Leningradets - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	Leningradets - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTL
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
01.10.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sokol Saratov	5:3 ✺
09.09.23	Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWL

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