Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Vivo Azzurro TV


	Lentigione		Pro Sesto

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.35
	2.03	3.31	3.35	Watch
	2.04	3.22	3.32
	2.08	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	3.32 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lentigione
44.6%

Draw
28.1%

Pro Sesto
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

26.6%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pro Sesto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Lentigione - Pro Sesto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Lentigione is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Pro Sesto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Lentigione has had a series of away games.

Lentigione is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lentigione won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pro Sesto	6	4	1	1	17:5	12	13
4	Lentigione	6	4	1	1	9:6	3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Lentigione - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.18%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lentigione Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.01.26	Crema - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	SantAngelo - Lentigione	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Lentigione - Trevigliese	4:0 ✺
07.12.25	Progresso - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Tuttocuoio - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW
- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.01.26	Pro Sesto - Progresso	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Pro Sesto - Correggese	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Tuttocuoio - Pro Sesto	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Pro Sesto - Piacenza	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Pistoiese - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
14.09.25	Pro Sesto - Lentigione	3:1

Lentigione - Pro Sesto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide