Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Varesina		Sondrio

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.35	3.95
	1.76	3.51	4.14	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.38
	1.76	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	4.17 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varesina
51.6%

Draw
26.6%

Sondrio
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sondrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sondrio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Varesina - Sondrio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, Vasil M. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 2, Escudero G. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Varesina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sondrio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Varesina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Varesina is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Varesina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.01.26	Oltrepo - Varesina	0:1 ✺
06.01.26	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Varesina - Caldiero Terme	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Breno - Varesina	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Varesina - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLL
- Sondrio Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.01.26	Brusaporto - Sondrio	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Sondrio - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Real Calepina - Sondrio	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sondrio - Oltrepo	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Sondrio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
21.09.25	Sondrio - Varesina	0:2
27.04.25	Sondrio - Varesina	2:0
15.12.24	Varesina - Sondrio	3:2

Varesina - Sondrio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide