Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui (Itagui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Leones		Barranquilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.70	3.40	4.10
	1.60	3.55	4.60	Watch
	1.77	3.79	4.31
	1.67	3.92	4.61	Watch
	1.74	3.75	4.25
	1.76	3.71	4.34	Watch
	1.75	3.50	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)	4.33 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
53.7%

Draw
25.1%

Barranquilla
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

26.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

25.8%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Leones - Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Leones will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Barranquilla will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa J. (G) 19. Martinez J. 5. Meneses G. 24. Montoya S. 3. Moreno J. 16. Renteria J. 22. Restrepo J. 18. Restrepo N. 7. Rodriguez Cespedes C. 29. Soto T. 8. Villa D.	1. Guerra Navarro S. (G) 16. Agamez M. 8. Bolivar M. 3. Cassiani O. 20. Cortez J. 31. Mendoza Benitez D. A. 11. Munoz J. 23. Oviedo P. 19. Penate C. 9. Pino M. 27. Uribe N.
Substitutes
12. Arboleda J. (G) 25. Calle T. 27. Castano J. 35. Echeverry J. 30. Granados R. 33. Lopez Posada I. 15. Martinez J. 23. Pacheco L. 10. Sanches L.	15. Borja S. 6. Caballero S. 4. Herazo E. 18. Lozano J. 33. Mosquera D. 36. Navia J. 21. Orozco A. 10. Ortiz Javier 7. Torres D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Restrepo N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pino M. ↓, Borja S. ↑,
46', Penate C. ↓, Lozano J. ↑,
46', Munoz J. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
60', Uribe N. 🟨,
61', Soto T. 🟨,
65', Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↓, Orozco A. ↑,
65', Agamez M. ↓, Ortiz Javier ↑,
69', Soto T. ↓, Sanches L. ↑,
69', Martinez J. ↓, Granados R. ↑,
80', Montoya S. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
80', Restrepo N. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Cassiani O. ⚽,
89', Orozco A. ↓, Navia J. ↑,
90+2', Uribe N. 🟨,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 15th and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones won 1.

Leones has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Barranquilla is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Leones could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Leones is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Leones has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:32 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leones against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:9 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Leones	11	2	4	5	8:17	-9	10
16	Barranquilla	11	2	3	6	11:17	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
28.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Leones	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Leones - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Envigado - Leones	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Leones - Atlético Cali	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Leones	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTLL
- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Copa
03.10.26	Barranquilla - Millonarios	2:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera B
27.09.26	Barranquilla - Real Cundinamarca	0:1 ✺
21.09.26	Bogotá - Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Barranquilla - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Patriotas - Barranquilla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
25.03.26	Barranquilla - Leones	3:0
04.08.25	Leones - Barranquilla	2:2
24.02.25	Barranquilla - Leones	2:3
10.10.24	Leones - Barranquilla	1:2
16.02.24	Barranquilla - Leones	2:2
26.09.23	Leones - Barranquilla	2:0
19.04.23	Barranquilla - Leones	2:3

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