Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 3

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui (Itagui)


	Leones		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.73	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.9
	4.25	3.35	1.72
	3.79	3.04	2.06
	4.7	3.45	1.78	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.95
	4.71	3.6	1.69	Watch
	4.25	3.35	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.78)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)	1.82 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
21.7%

Draw
27.8%

Deportivo Pereira
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

29.9%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

28.5%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Leones - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leones will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Pereira will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽,
30', Fruto R. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Mosquera L. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Ceballos A. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Ibarguen Cuesta J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Leones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pereira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Copa
03.06.25	Bogotá - Leones	0:0 ✺
28.05.25	Leones - Deportivo La Equidad	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
17.05.25	Leones - Bogotá	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Atlético Cali - Leones	0:0 ✺
05.05.25	Leones - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWTL
- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Copa
02.06.25	Deportivo Pereira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.05.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	3:0 ✺
19.05.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pereira	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
08.05.25	Millonarios - Deportivo Pereira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
24.04.24	Leones - Deportivo Pereira	1:2 penalties
09.04.24	Deportivo Pereira - Leones	1:1
Colombian Primera B
19.09.19	Deportivo Pereira - Leones	1:1
Colombian Copa
08.05.19	Leones - Deportivo Pereira	2:4
Colombian Primera B
06.04.19	Leones - Deportivo Pereira	1:0
Colombian Copa
14.02.19	Deportivo Pereira - Leones	2:1
10.05.18	Deportivo Pereira - Leones	2:4 penalties

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