The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leones 53.7%
Draw 26.7%
Deportivo La Equidad 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
29.4%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
28.2%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leones's performance.
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo La Equidad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones than the current prediction. (-25.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+23.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Equidad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.7%
0%
6.2%
Leones - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Leones will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leones: 82% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leones will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Chaverra F. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Asprilla J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 2, Ceballos A. ⚽,
Preview
Recent form of Leones has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
La Equidad has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
La Equidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Leones is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leones won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Leones won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
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