Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas (Pereira)

Referee: Marquez C. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Pereira		Fortaleza CEIF

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	2	Watch
	3.7	2.98	2.12	Watch
	4.04	3.05	2.13
	3.66	3.2	2.09	Watch
	3.7	2.9	2.1
	3.86	3.15	2.03	Watch
	3.75	3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (2.38)	3.05 ↑ (2.98)	2.08 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pereira
24.6%

Draw
30.6%

Fortaleza CEIF
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.3%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pereira's form might have worsened.

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza CEIF's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.4%	9.4%	56.2%

Deportivo Pereira - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 11 - 34.4%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 18 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 39.1% – 73.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Fortaleza (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Pereira (2.81) (votes: 10 - 62.5%) .

AH -0.5 - Fortaleza (2.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Pereira (1.83) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 43 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 21 - 48.8%). Fortaleza (votes: 20 - 46.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Martinez J. (G) 21. Pacheco W. 4. Bazan J. 15. Aguilar S. 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 20. Monroy J. 5. Bermudez Correa J. A. 10. Acosta S. 3. Rengifo N. 88. Quinones Y. 18. Perez M.	1. Silva M. (G) 16. Cajares J. 18. Balanta J. 6. Diaz Y. 13. Pernia M. 14. Pico L. (C) 8. Navarro S. 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 33. Arroyo A. 29. Wilke T. 24. Salas J.
Substitutes
19. Aguirre M. 32. Alzate S. 31. Calderon A. 14. Moreno E. 37. Moreno L. 34. Mosquera J. 24. Palacios M. 40. Rodriguez J. 33. Zuluaga S. (G)	11. Amaya A. 32. Barragan M. (G) 15. Cuero S. 20. Orozco C. 21. Ramiirez S. 3. Ramirez D. 26. Rivas Torres R. D. 23. Sinisterra J. 10. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Reyes A.	Oliveros S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Navarro S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Navarro S. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
46', Acosta S. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
52', Amaya A. 🟨,
56', Pacheco W. 🟨,
63', Pernia M. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
63', Salas J. ↓, Rivas Torres R. D. ↑,
66', Perez M. ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
68', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
70', Rivas Torres R. D. 🟨,
75', Wilke T. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
80', Balanta Carabali K. A. ↓, Ramiirez S. ↑,
88', Quinones Y. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 1.

Fortaleza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Fortaleza	13	1	8	4	14:19	-5	11
19	Pereira	12	1	6	5	7:17	-10	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
16.01.26	Deportivo Pereira - Llaneros SA	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pereira	4:0 ✺
27.10.25	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira	4:0 ✺
24.10.25	Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas	1:5 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.10.25	Deportivo Pereira - Envigado	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
16.01.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
10.08.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pereira	0:0
Colombian Copa
02.06.25	Deportivo Pereira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0
Colombian Primera A
22.02.25	Deportivo Pereira - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0
12.08.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pereira	1:0
Colombian Copa
15.05.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pereira	1:0
08.05.24	Deportivo Pereira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1
Colombian Primera A
08.02.24	Deportivo Pereira - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0

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