Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 9

Date: 24 March 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui (Itagui)


	Leones		Valledupar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.33
	1.8	3.2	4.5
	1.8	3.4	5.05
	1.73	3	5
	1.78	3.3	4.55
	1.8	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.76)	3.23 ↓ (3.42)	4.62 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
51.7%

Draw
28.4%

Valledupar
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.1%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

29.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Leones - Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leones will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Valledupar will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Leones could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leones is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Leones won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Leones won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
19.03.23	Tigres - Leones	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.03.23	Leones - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
12.03.23	Leones - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
09.03.23	Orsomarso - Leones	1:0 ✺
06.03.23	Leones - Patriotas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTLT
- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
19.03.23	Valledupar - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Valledupar - Atlético Cali	3:1 ✺
09.03.23	Tigres - Valledupar	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Valledupar - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Real Cartagena - Valledupar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
24.09.22	Valledupar - Leones	3:3
27.08.22	Leones - Valledupar	1:0
06.02.22	Valledupar - Leones	0:1
31.07.21	Valledupar - Leones	1:1
27.02.21	Valledupar - Leones	0:1
18.12.20	Valledupar - Leones	0:0
22.11.20	Leones - Valledupar	0:0

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