Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - CLAUSURA - QUADRANGULAR - ROUND 5

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Leones		Fortaleza CEIF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.35
	2.7	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.83	3.45	2.5
	2.83	3.45	2.5
	2.6	3.25	2.3
	2.62	3.38	2.36	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.9)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	2.4 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
34.3%

Draw
27.4%

Fortaleza CEIF
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.6%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Leones - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Montoya J. (G) 8. Ceballos J. (C) 29. Fruto R. 2. Fuentes Mendoza Y. D. 5. Meneses G. 34. Osorio Ceballos J. S. 6. Palomeque S. 31. Restrepo Alvarez J. 17. Tamayo K. 21. Urrea S. 10. Zuleta M.	1. Castillo J. (G) 16. Ampudia J. 25. Bermudez Correa J. A. 9. Blanco J. 18. Herrera J. 27. Londono Y. 19. Moralez A. 10. Navarro S. 13. Pajaro R. 3. Rivera D. (C) 11. Rodriguez N.
Substitutes
4. Gallego C. 14. Garcia L. 11. Herrera J. 1. Holguin C. (G) 15. Mosquera S. 9. Valencia J. 20. Velez D.	21. Berrio C. 12. Garcia Jordan (G) 28. Guzman E. 8. Hinestroza J. 4. Pertuz J. 14. Pico L. 24. Salas J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones won 1.

Recent matches Leones is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortaleza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Leones won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Leones won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
31.10.23	Boca Juniors de Cali - Leones	3:3 ✺
26.10.23	Leones - Boca Juniors de Cali	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	2:1 ✺
16.10.23	Leones - Real Cartagena	2:1 ✺
11.10.23	Leones - Real Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWL
- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera B
31.10.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Real Cartagena	3:0 ✺
26.10.23	Real Cartagena - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	2:1 ✺
16.10.23	Boca Juniors de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
11.10.23	Atlético Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
22.10.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	2:1
30.08.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	3:1
12.03.23	Leones - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2
02.09.22	Leones - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1
19.02.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	1:2
14.08.21	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	3:1
05.05.21	Leones - Fortaleza CEIF	3:0

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