The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Orsomarso 53.3%
Draw 28.4%
Leones 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
27.6%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
27%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orsomarso's performance.
Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Orsomarso - Leones Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.75 - Leones (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Orsomarso will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Arango H. (G) 6. Agamez S. 9. Arrechea S. 13. Barreiro J. 5. Barrios D. 7. Girado S. 3. Gomez L. 17. Hernandez J. 4. Lasso M. 10. Ruiz A. 18. Valoyes Y.
39. Figueroa J. (G) 35. Arboleda M. 3. Marmolejo D. 8. Martinez J. 5. Meneses G. 24. Montoya S. 13. Moreno D. 11. Palacios L. 26. Posada S. 18. Restrepo N. 7. Rodriguez Cespedes C.
Substitutes
34. Aragon F. 32. Gonzalez S. 12. Grisales J. (G) 14. Martinez E. 29. Martinez S. 23. Parra J. 25. Villareal A. 31. Villarreal J. 8. Zarante
12. Arboleda J. (G) 4. Garcia D. 38. Genes D. 28. Hincapie Ossa J. F. 33. Lopez Posada I. 32. Pasos E. 21. Segura O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Girado S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hernandez J. ↓, Parra J. ↑,
53', 🟨,
54', Arrechea S. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
54', Valoyes Y. ↓, Villareal A. ↑,
60', 🟨,
63', Girado S. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Martinez J. ↓, Segura O. ↑,
64', Montoya S. ↓, Hincapie Ossa J. F. ↑,
77', Meneses G. ↓, Lopez Posada I. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 1.
Recent performances by Orsomarso have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Leones is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Orsomarso is considered a favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Orsomarso won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Orsomarso
11
2
4
5
7:11
-4
10
15
Leones
11
2
4
5
8:17
-9
10
Last Results with these Odds
Leones - the odds 3.73 are the expected chance of winning is 24.86%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Colombia
Usa
Watch
#ad
Arango H. (G) 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
