Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura Reserves - Play Offs - Final

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Leones Negros 2		Correcaminos UAT 2

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.25	3.76
	1.71	3.8	4.17
	1.75	3.91	4.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.85)	3.65 ↑ (3.39)	4.02 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros 2
51.9%

Draw
25.2%

Correcaminos UAT 2
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.7%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

28%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Correcaminos UAT 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT 2 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg./

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Correcaminos 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leones Negros 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
01.05.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Leones Negros 2 - Los Cabos United	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Leones Negros 2 - Colima	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWW
- Correcaminos UAT 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
01.05.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Lobos ULMX - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Lobos ULMX	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Real Apodaca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
01.05.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2	2:0
07.12.24	Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	3:0
04.12.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2	0:1
23.02.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2	3:0
23.09.23	Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1
12.02.22	Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	0:1
13.10.21	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2	1:1

Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide