Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	La Piedad		Mineros de Fresnillo

	1	X	2
	1.84	3.7	3.3
	1.75	4.08	3.72	Watch
	1.78	3.68	3.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.6)	3.82 ↓ (3.9)	3.58 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

La Piedad
50.8%

Draw
23.8%

Mineros de Fresnillo
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

23.3%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

22.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Piedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Piedad's form might have worsened.

Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mineros de Fresnillo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Piedad than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Piedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mineros de Fresnillo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

La Piedad - Mineros de Fresnillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 2 - 0, ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 10)

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, La Piedad is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, La Piedad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, La Piedad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Piedad
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.11.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - La Piedad	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	La Piedad - Ensenada	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Zapotlanejo - La Piedad	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	La Piedad - Alacranes de Durango	0:5 ✺
04.10.25	Tuzos UAZ - La Piedad	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWWLW
- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Los Cabos United	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.03.21	La Piedad - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:0

Upcoming Matches