Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Barca TV, Esport3, FEF TV, Movistar Plus+ 1


	Leonesa		Barcelona B

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.8	5.75
	1.5	3.7	5.5
	1.49	3.6	5.4
	1.52	3.88	5.8	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.8
	1.51	3.96	5.95
	1.49	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)	3.72 ↑ (3.44)	5.51 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
59.3%

Draw
24.3%

Barcelona B
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

26.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Leonesa - Barcelona B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Barcelona B will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 12. Ortega G. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 22. Pibe 14. Bicho 6. Presa K. 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M. 11. Samanes S.	13. Kochen D. (G) 32. Farre L. 4. Mbacke M. 27. Cuenca A. 17. Lopez R. 39. Soma P. 8. Garrido A. 20. Fernandez G. 7. Rodriguez D. 19. Dacosta R. 10. Hernandez U.
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 21. Artola J. 8. Barri 7. Calderon C. 19. Escobar A. 31. Martinez I. 4. Rodri Suarez 28. Ruiz A. 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V.	31. Aller E. (G) 22. Anaya J. 15. Aziz Issah A. 24. Bikoue 14. Cortes A. 34. Espart X. 29. Farinas B. 25. Oduro D. 45. Virgili J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Lopez R. (Own goal),
8', Dacosta R. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Hernandez U. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Justo M. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
62', Samanes S. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
70', Pibe ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
70', Ortega G. ↓, Rodri Suarez ↑,
72', Cuenca A. 🟨,
72', Fernandez G. ↓, Bikoue ↑,
74', Soma P. 🟨,
80', Rodriguez D. ↓, Farinas B. ↑,
80', Cuenca A. ↓, Cortes A. ↑,
80', Bicho ↓, Barri ↑,
89', Rodri Suarez 🟨,
89', Lopez R. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', Presa K. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Leonesa - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
08.12.24	Barakaldo - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Leonesa - Almería	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLW
- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Barcelona B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:2 ✺
13.12.24	Osasuna B - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Barcelona B - Celta de Vigo B	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Arenteiro - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.02.24	Barcelona B - Leonesa	4:0
19.11.23	Leonesa - Barcelona B	3:1
Spanish LaLiga2
07.04.18	Barcelona B - Leonesa	0:1
05.11.17	Leonesa - Barcelona B	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF Promotion Play Offs
28.05.17	Leonesa - Barcelona B	2:1
20.05.17	Barcelona B - Leonesa	0:2

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