Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	6
	1.41	4.1	6.25
	1.43	4.2	7
	1.41	4.52	7.82
	1.39	4.24	7.47	Watch
	1.41	4.25	7.22
	1.43	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.61)	4.22 ↑ (3.73)	6.97 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
65%

Draw
21.8%

Gimnástica Segoviana
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.6%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

24.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica Segoviana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica Segoviana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonesa - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (C) 12. Ortega G. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 22. Pibe 16. Maestre S. 20. Alba T. 14. Bicho 10. Chacon L. 19. Escobar A.	44. Oliva H. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 17. Chupo 18. Gabriel Palmero 14. Llorente F. 22. De La Mata J. 11. Astray P. 7. Berlanga M. 9. Gomez D. 10. Borrego J.
Substitutes
21. Artola J. 8. Barri 7. Calderon C. 31. Martinez I. 4. Rodri Suarez 28. Ruiz A. 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V. 11. Samanes S.	1. Carmona P. (G) 25. Changyi L. (G) 19. Davo 8. Diaz H. 23. Ferreiroa F. 4. Lopez D. 26. Marcos H. 6. Olmedilla M. 16. Sanz R. 20. Tellechea I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Pascual A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Chacon L. ⚽,
33', Maestre S. 🟨,
40', Gomez D. ↓, Davo ↑,
45+1', 1 - 1, Astray P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 2 - 1, Fornos Q. ⚽,
54', Llorente F. 🟨,
56', Satrustegui E. 🟨,
57', 2 - 2, Llorente F. ⚽,
59', Astray P. 🟨,
60', Borrego J. 🟨,
62', Alba T. ↓, Barri ↑,
66', De La Mata J. ↓, Olmedilla M. ↑,
66', Astray P. ↓, Tellechea I. ↑,
66', Borrego J. ↓, Ferreiroa F. ↑,
68', Chupo 🟨,
69', Escobar A. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
69', Pibe ↓, Artola J. ↑,
81', 🟨,
85', Llorente F. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
88', Maestre S. ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Davo ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

G Segoviana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leonesa is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.12.24	Barakaldo - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Leonesa - Almería	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	2:3 ✺
23.11.24	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:3 ✺
16.11.24	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLW
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - FC Andorra	3:2 ✺
23.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	0:0 ✺
08.11.24	Tarazona - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLTT

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