Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Leonesa		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	9.5
	1.47	3.75	5.75
	1.52	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.53	4.09	6.71
	1.52	4.03	6.71
	1.49	3.86	6.6
	1.46	3.7	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	3.85 ↑ (3.6)	6.94 ↑ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
62.4%

Draw
24.1%

Sabadell
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

24.6%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

23.2%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Sabadell aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Leonesa - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Sabadell will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leonesa: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 20. Rodri Suarez 15. Fornos Q. 17. Martinez A. 6. Presa K. (C) 14. Bicho J. 22. Muguruza J. 18. Solar M. 10. Rey A. 9. Guillermo	13. Ortola A. (C) 15. Amelibia J. 5. Resta P. 16. Herrero T. 19. Garcia N. 6. Beitia C. 7. Moyano A. 11. Astals D. 12. Domenech M. 8. Gualda A. 17. Kopotun V.
Substitutes
13. Amigo (G) 8. Barri 16. Berto 24. Carrasco S. (G) 4. Coch A. 23. Gonzalez M. 5. Guitian A. 19. Hanza D. 28. Ortega G. 3. Pol J. 21. Rodri 12. Toca N.	14. Baselga M. 3. Carrion J. . Escribano B. . Fernandez P. 10. Herrera C. 9. Martinez M. 22. Naranjo G. 4. Pujol R. 27. Saez M. 2. Sanchez A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sabadell is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sabadell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leonesa is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.12.23	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Leonesa - Barcelona B	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Lugo - Leonesa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.12.23	Sabadell - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Arenteiro - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Teruel - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
19.11.23	Sabadell - Lugo	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Barcelona B - Sabadell	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
23.07.20	Leonesa - Sabadell	2:3 penalties

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