Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Referee: Gonzalez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leonesa		Granada

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.05	2.75	Watch
	2.58	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.71	3.1	2.99
	2.58	3.11	2.87	Watch
	2.7	3.13	2.85	Watch
	2.66	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.58)	3.07 ↓ (3.11)	2.83 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
35.9%

Draw
30.7%

Granada
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30.4%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

30.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Granada aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Leonesa - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Granada (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 17. Calero I. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 15. Ribeiro L. 8. Gonzalez Y. 23. Diallo Selu M. 2. Mboula J. 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.	13. Astralaga A. (G) 28. Oppong O. 5. Lama M. 24. Williams L. 22. Diallo B. 11. Arnaiz J. M. 20. Ruiz S. (C) 8. Aleman P. 7. Sola A. 19. Pascual J. 17. Faye S.
Substitutes
1. Banuz M. (G) 14. Bicho 7. Collado D. 11. Cortes P. 5. Fornos Q. 24. Garcia V. 33. Larios J. 6. Maestre S. 22. Pibe 26. Rafus A. (G) 16. Ribeiro T. 20. Tresaco R.	4. Alcaraz R. 10. Bouldini M. 2. Casadesus P. 23. Gagnidze L. 3. Hormigo D. 36. Juanjo 26. Rodelas S. 21. Saenz P. 14. Trigueros M. 1. Zidane L. (G)
Coaches
Ziganda C.	Rojo Martin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Pascual J. ⚽, Lama M. (A),
45+1', Arnaiz J. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Pascual J. 🟨,
61', Aleman P. ↓, Alcaraz R. ↑,
61', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Bicho ↑,
61', Mboula J. ↓, Tresaco R. ↑,
74', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
75', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
75', Oppong O. ↓, Casadesus P. ↑,
75', Ribeiro L. ↓, Pibe ↑,
79', Casadesus P. 🟨,
81', Rodri Suarez ↓, Ribeiro T. ↑,
81', Justo M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
83', Barzic M. 🟨,
86', Faye S. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
86', Pascual J. ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Leonesa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Granada has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Leonesa: Ojeda T. (Yellow Cards) Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)

There will not play in Granada: Bouldini M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Bicho (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Cádiz - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Leonesa - Málaga	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Leonesa - Mirandés	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Tropezón - Leonesa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLWW
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
22.11.25	Granada - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Racing Santander - Granada	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Granada - Zaragoza	3:1 ✺
03.11.25	Valladolid - Granada	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Roda - Granada	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Leonesa - Granada	1:2 ET
Spanish LaLiga2
22.04.18	Granada - Leonesa	3:3
19.11.17	Leonesa - Granada	1:1

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