Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 12

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Valladolid		Granada

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.95
	1.83	3.56	4.36	Watch
	1.9	3.34	4.14	Watch
	1.92	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)	3.43 ↓ (3.56)	4.11 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
50%

Draw
27.3%

Granada
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

28.3%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Valladolid - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Granada will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. 5. Sanchez J. (C) 4. Torres D. 3. Bueno G. 22. Peter Federico 24. Juric S. 21. Ponceau J. 17. Biuk S. 11. Ndiaye A. 9. Latasa J.	1. Zidane L. (G) 2. Casadesus P. 5. Lama M. 28. Oppong O. 22. Diallo B. 4. Alcaraz R. 8. Aleman P. 20. Ruiz S. (C) 7. Sola A. 19. Pascual J. 17. Faye S.
Substitutes
1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 19. Arnuncio A. 7. Canos S. 20. Chuki 18. Delgado J. 6. Lachuer M. 16. Maroto M. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 28. Moreno X. 15. Tomeo P. 2. Trilli	11. Arnaiz J. M. 13. Astralaga A. (G) 23. Gagnidze L. 34. Garcia I. (G) 18. Hongla M. 3. Hormigo D. 26. Rodelas S. 21. Saenz P. 14. Trigueros M. 24. Williams L.
Coaches
Almada G.	Rojo Martin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Peter Federico 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Pascual J. ⚽, Faye S. (A),
30', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
33', Ponceau J. 🟨,
43', Ruiz S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sanchez J. ↓, Tomeo P. ↑,
46', Biuk S. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
52', Aleman P. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Ndiaye A. ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),
68', Ruiz S. ↓, Saenz P. ↑,
68', Sola A. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
71', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
72', Ndiaye A. ↓, Canos S. ↑,
72', Latasa J. ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,
79', Diallo B. ↓, Hormigo D. ↑,
79', Aleman P. ↓, Gagnidze L. ↑,
84', Peter Federico ↓, Chuki ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Chuki (Pen),
90+1', Pascual J. 🟨,
90+1', Alcaraz R. ↓, Arnaiz J. M. ↑,
90+7', Hormigo D. 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 2.

Valladolid has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Granada is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Valladolid is the team to beat.

There will not play in Valladolid: Canos S. (Muscle Injury) Garriel I. (Knee Injury) Marcos Andre (Red Card)

There will not play in Granada: Bouldini M. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Granada - the odds 4.36 are the expected chance of winning is 21.71%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Portugalete - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:3 ✺
12.10.25	Burgos - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Valladolid - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWT
- Granada CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Roda - Granada	1:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Granada - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	FC Andorra - Granada	0:0 ✺
10.10.25	Granada - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Granada - Real Sociedad B	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.04.21	Valladolid - Granada	1:2
22.11.20	Granada - Valladolid	1:3
Club Friendly
28.08.20	Granada - Valladolid	0:3
Spanish LaLiga
15.02.20	Granada - Valladolid	2:1
24.09.19	Valladolid - Granada	1:1
Club Friendly
02.08.19	Granada - Valladolid	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
09.02.18	Granada - Valladolid	1:0

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