Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 14

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ais S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	21:00	RTSH Sport
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	14:00	Sky Sport
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Granada

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.7	4.1	Watch
	1.82	3.7	3.8	Watch
	1.86	3.78	4.26
	1.80	3.88	4.09	Watch
	1.81	3.8	4.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	3.77 ↓ (3.9)	4.14 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
52.2%

Draw
25%

Granada
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

23.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+2%)

The ML Model estimate for Granada aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	7.4%	14.8%

Racing Santander - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Granada will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Granada (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Granada (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Granada (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. 5. Castro J. 21. Ramon P. 3. Garcia M. 14. Gueye M. 6. Sainz-Maza I. (C) 11. Martin A. 10. Vicente I. 15. Sangalli M. 12. Villalibre A.	13. Astralaga A. (G) 28. Oppong O. 5. Lama M. 24. Williams L. 22. Diallo B. 8. Aleman P. 4. Alcaraz R. 20. Ruiz S. (C) 7. Sola A. 19. Pascual J. 17. Faye S.
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 7. Cabanzon Y. 20. Camara S. 35. Gomez Rodriguez L. (G) 16. Gonzalez F. 4. Manu 17. Michelin C. 36. Sergio M.	11. Arnaiz J. M. 2. Casadesus P. 23. Gagnidze L. 27. Gambin M. 34. Garcia I. (G) 38. Guirao C. (G) 36. Juanjo 26. Rodelas S. 21. Saenz P. 14. Trigueros M.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Rojo Martin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. ⚽, Sangalli M. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Castro J. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
26', Gueye M. 🟨,
41', Aleman P. 🟨,
45', Faye S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Alcaraz R. ↓, Arnaiz J. M. ↑,
46', Sainz-Maza I. ↓, Sergio M. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Pascual J. ⚽,
60', Villalibre A. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
65', Pascual J. 🟨,
66', Sergio M. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Arnaiz J. M. ⚽,
73', Martin A. 🟨,
76', Sangalli M. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
79', Astralaga A. 🟨,
84', Aleman P. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
86', Sola A. 🟨,
88', Faye S. ↓, Gagnidze L. ↑,
90+1', Sola A. ↓, Casadesus P. ↑,
90+8', Arana J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Granada has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Racing is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Andreev P. (International duty) Canales P. (International duty) Jeremy Arevalo (International duty) Puerta G. (International duty)

There will not play in Granada: Bouldini M. (Injury) Hongla M. (International duty) Hormigo D. (Red Card) Zidane L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Salinas J. (Jaw injury)

There are questionable in Granada: Astralaga A. (Ankle Injury) Casadesus P. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
09.11.25	Las Palmas - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Racing Santander - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	SD Logroñés - Racing Santander	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Mirandés - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Racing Santander - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
09.11.25	Granada - Zaragoza	3:1 ✺
03.11.25	Valladolid - Granada	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Roda - Granada	1:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Granada - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	FC Andorra - Granada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.06.25	Racing Santander - Granada	2:1
07.12.24	Granada - Racing Santander	3:0
23.04.23	Racing Santander - Granada	1:0
20.08.22	Granada - Racing Santander	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
31.03.12	Racing Santander - Granada	0:1

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