Match Info

Date: 29 February 2020, Saturday


	Leonesa		Izarra

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.42	4	7
	1.27	4.3	9
	1.36	4.7	8.34
	1.36	4.33	8
	1.36	4.55	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)	4.31 ↓ (4.48)	7.79 ↑ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
67.1%

Draw
21.2%

Izarra
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

20.1%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

13%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Izarra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Izarra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonesa - Izarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.02.20	Guijuelo - Leonesa	3:1 ✺
16.02.20	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
09.02.20	Burgos - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
02.02.20	Leonesa - UD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.01.20	Leonesa - Valencia	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- CD Izarra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.02.20	Izarra - Calahorra	1:1 ✺
16.02.20	Haro Deportivo - Izarra	3:1 ✺
08.02.20	Izarra - Alavés B	1:0 ✺
01.02.20	Real Sociedad B - Izarra	3:1 ✺
26.01.20	Izarra - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.10.19	Izarra - Leonesa	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.01.17	Leonesa - Izarra	3:1
04.09.16	Izarra - Leonesa	0:0
24.04.16	Leonesa - Izarra	3:1
06.12.15	Izarra - Leonesa	0:0

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