Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)


	Leonesa		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.72
	3.9	3.6	1.73
	3.75	3.8	1.76
	3.85	3.7	1.73
	4.12	4.13	1.72
	4.33	3.4	1.73
	4.2	3.84	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.44)	3.72 ↑ (3.24)	1.73 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
22.7%

Draw
24.5%

UD Logroñés
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.2%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.4%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD Logroñés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD Logroñés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Leonesa - UD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Logroñés will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leonesa: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Logroñés is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.05.22	Talavera de la Reina - Leonesa	0:5 ✺
14.05.22	Leonesa - DUX Internacional de Madrid	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	5:3 ✺
01.05.22	Leonesa - Zamora	0:0 ✺
24.04.22	Valladolid B - Leonesa	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLTT
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.05.22	UD Logroñés - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
14.05.22	SD Logroñés - UD Logroñés	3:2 ✺
08.05.22	UD Logroñés - Zamora	4:1 ✺
30.04.22	Deportivo A Coruña - UD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
23.04.22	UD Logroñés - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.01.22	UD Logroñés - Leonesa	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.02.20	Leonesa - UD Logroñés	0:2
15.09.19	UD Logroñés - Leonesa	3:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.04.16	Leonesa - UD Logroñés	0:2
22.11.15	UD Logroñés - Leonesa	1:1
22.03.15	UD Logroñés - Leonesa	2:0
02.11.14	Leonesa - UD Logroñés	1:1

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