Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.33
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.85	2.8	3.9
	1.89	3.2	4.2
	1.86	3.17	4.26	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.23
	1.85	2.8	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)	4.1 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
48.4%

Draw
29.6%

Unionistas de Salamanca
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

30.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

32.4%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Unionistas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 12. Ortega G. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 22. Pibe 14. Bicho 6. Presa K. 10. Chacon L. 21. Artola J. 9. Justo M.	1. Martinez I. (G) 23. Pascual A. 4. Mayor R. 5. Baz I. 21. Verges E. 6. Rabadan D. 16. Gonzalez I. 8. Martinez P. 10. de la Nava C. 9. Moreno I. 19. Arriba J.
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 8. Barri 7. Calderon C. 19. Escobar A. 2. Garcia V. 18. Lanchi 16. Maestre S. 4. Rodri Suarez 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V. 11. Samanes S.	14. Chuca 3. Garcia C. 17. Garcia D. 18. Garcia P. 11. Gomez A. 24. Ortuno F. 22. Santamaria G. 26. Serrano Garcia M. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 20. Tur J. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Presa K. ⚽,
37', Bicho 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Pibe ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Moreno I. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
46', Gonzalez I. ↓, Chuca ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Justo M. (Pen),
53', 4 - 0, Justo M. ⚽,
57', Fornos Q. 🟨,
59', Martinez P. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
59', Bicho ↓, Barri ↑,
59', Ortega G. ↓, Lanchi ↑,
59', Mayor R. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
66', Chacon L. ↓, Alba T. ↑,
66', Justo M. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
72', Lanchi 🟥,
73', de la Nava C. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
75', Pibe ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
80', 4 - 1, Garcia P. ⚽,
81', 4 - 2, Chuca ⚽,
85', 4 - 3, Garcia P. ⚽,
88', Escobar A. 🟨,
90+2', Barri 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Unionistas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.01.25	Lugo - Leonesa	1:4 ✺
11.01.25	Leonesa - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Leonesa - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
08.12.24	Barakaldo - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWLL
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.01.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Tarazona - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.09.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	1:2
04.02.24	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1
02.09.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	1:0
20.05.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	2:0
26.11.22	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0
13.02.22	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1
05.09.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	2:2

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