Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	U-NEXT
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar 2, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga 5
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Leonesa		Levante

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.3	2.32	Watch
	2.92	3.2	2.32
	3.06	3.32	2.5
	2.9	3.33	2.45	Watch
	2.9	3	2.4
	3.02	3.32	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.4)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.4 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leonesa
31.8%

Draw
28.9%

Levante
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leonesa's form might have worsened.

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Leonesa - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Levante will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leonesa: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leonesa (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (C) 17. Calero I. 36. Barzic M. 5. Fornos Q. 33. Larios J. 20. Tresaco R. 8. Gonzalez Y. 6. Maestre S. 11. Cortes P. 23. Diallo Selu M. 7. Collado D.	1. Cunat P. (G) 29. Perez N. 4. Dela 3. Matturro A. 6. Varela Pampin D. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 12. Vencedor U. 20. Rey O. 18. Losada I. 10. Martinez P. (C) 11. Morales J.
Substitutes
14. Bicho 10. Chacon L. 24. Garcia V. 21. Hinojo R. 30. La Riva M. 28. Ojeda T. 18. Paraschiv D. 22. Pibe 26. Rafus A. (G) 15. Ribeiro L. 16. Ribeiro T.	24. Alvarez C. 16. Arriaga K. 14. Cabello J. 19. Espi C. 15. Koyalipou G. 2. Moreno M. 32. Primo A. (G) 9. Romero I. 23. Sanchez M. 22. Toljan J. 26. Tunde K.
Coaches
Ziganda C.	Del Moral A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Tresaco R. ⚽,
26', Dela 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Bicho ↑,
46', Olasagasti J. A. ↓, Koyalipou G. ↑,
46', Rey O. ↓, Arriaga K. ↑,
54', Koyalipou G. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
60', Bicho 🟨,
62', Tresaco R. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
67', Perez N. ↓, Toljan J. ↑,
76', Collado D. ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
76', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Ojeda T. ↑,
81', Martinez P. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
88', Calero I. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,

Preview

Leonesa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Levante has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Levante has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
12.12.25	Leonesa - Huesca	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Eibar - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Leonesa - Granada	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cádiz - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 LWWLW
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
08.12.25	Osasuna - Levante	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Cieza - Levante	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Levante - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Valencia - Levante	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Levante	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Upcoming Matches