Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2


	Eibar		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.95	Watch
	1.74	3.55	5.61
	1.72	3.44	5.5	Watch
	1.73	3.25	5
	1.74	3.52	5.45	Watch
	1.71	3.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)	3.41 ↓ (3.82)	5.36 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
54.9%

Draw
27.6%

Leonesa
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

24.7%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

23.9%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Eibar - Leonesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Leonesa will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Eibar (5.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 17. Corpas J. 8. Nolaskoain P. 21. Moreno M. 23. Arbilla A. 6. Alvarez S. 5. Martinez J. 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 10. Guruzeta J. 18. Ares A. 9. Bautista J.	13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 36. Barzic M. 16. Ribeiro T. 21. Hinojo R. 23. Diallo Selu M. 28. Ojeda T. 15. Ribeiro L. 10. Chacon L. 20. Tresaco R. 9. Justo M.
Substitutes
4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 24. Buta L. 2. Cubero S. 30. Garrido A. 20. Javier Marton 1. Lopez L. (G) 16. Madariaga A. 14. Olaetxea L. 22. Rodriguez A. 19. Villa T.	1. Banuz M. (G) 14. Bicho 7. Collado D. 11. Cortes P. 5. Fornos Q. 8. Gonzalez Y. 33. Larios J. 6. Maestre S. 2. Mboula J. 18. Paraschiv D. 22. Pibe 26. Rafus A. (G)
Coaches
San Jose B.	Ziganda C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Arbilla A. ⚽, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Justo M. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Ojeda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Ojeda T. ⚽, Hinojo R. (A),
52', Ares A. 🟨,
56', Nolaskoain P. 🟨,
56', Ares A. ↓, Madariaga A. ↑,
56', Martinez J. ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
62', Hinojo R. 🟨,
67', Tresaco R. 🟨,
67', Ribeiro L. ↓, Bicho ↑,
67', Ribeiro T. ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
68', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
84', Alvarez S. ↓, Buta L. ↑,
84', Moreno M. ↓, Villa T. ↑,
87', Chacon L. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
87', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Pibe ↑,
90+2', Justo M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Eibar is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Rodri Suarez (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Pontevedra - Eibar	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Racing Santander - Eibar	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Eibar - Albacete Balompié	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLTW
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Leonesa - Granada	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cádiz - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Leonesa - Málaga	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWWL

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