Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 18

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Referee: Morilla A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Ecuador	DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DSports 6


	Leonesa		Huesca

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	3.9	Watch
	2.22	2.82	3.6	Watch
	2.27	2.92	3.97
	2.24	2.92	3.8	Watch
	2.2	2.75	3.75
	2.23	2.84	3.96	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.59)	2.84 ↓ (3.03)	3.82 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
42.4%

Draw
33%

Huesca
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

30.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.

Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huesca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huesca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Leonesa - Huesca Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Huesca will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leonesa: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Leonesa (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 36. Barzic M. 16. Ribeiro T. 21. Hinojo R. 22. Pibe 28. Ojeda T. 14. Bicho 2. Mboula J. 9. Justo M. (C) 10. Chacon L.	13. Jimenez D. (G) 4. Carrillo A. 14. Pulido J. 5. Pina 17. Alonso J. 22. Perez A. 16. Alvarez J. 20. Portillo F. 21. Ojeda D. 18. Rodriguez E. 10. Kortajarena I.
Substitutes
1. Banuz M. (G) 17. Calero I. 7. Collado D. 11. Cortes P. 23. Diallo Selu M. 5. Fornos Q. 8. Gonzalez Y. 33. Larios J. 6. Maestre S. 18. Paraschiv D. 26. Rafus A. (G) 20. Tresaco R.	3. Abajas R. 38. Albarracin G. 28. Arribas S. 11. Beltran L. 37. Chatiliez W. 33. Luna D. 30. Martin D. (G) 1. Perez Juan (G) 7. Rico M. 2. Toni Abad
Coaches
Ziganda C.	Bolo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Pulido J. 🟨,
37', Justo M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Perez A. ⚽, Portillo F. (A),
69', Ojeda D. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
72', Justo M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
72', Garcia V. ↓, Tresaco R. ↑,
73', Pibe ↓, Calero I. ↑,
75', Perez A. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
80', Carrillo A. 🟨,
82', 0 - 2, Rodriguez E. ⚽, Pina (A),
83', Ojeda T. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
83', Mboula J. ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
86', Rodriguez E. ↓, Abajas R. ↑,
87', Carrillo A. ↓, Toni Abad ↑,
90+4', Kortajarena I. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17).

Leonesa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Huesca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leonesa could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leonesa: Rodri Suarez (Injury) Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)

There will not play in Huesca: Aznar D. (Knee Injury) Martin J. (Knee Injury) Mier J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Huesca - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33.08%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
07.12.25	Eibar - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Leonesa - Granada	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cádiz - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Leonesa - Málaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WWLWW
- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
06.12.25	Huesca - Valladolid	1:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Ferrol - Huesca	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Almería - Huesca	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Huesca - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Zaragoza - Huesca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
11.01.20	Leonesa - Huesca	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
11.02.18	Huesca - Leonesa	1:0
17.09.17	Leonesa - Huesca	3:2

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