Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday


	Leonesa		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.7	7
	1.38	3.75	9.5
	1.43	3.65	7.4
	1.46	3.74	9.46
	1.42	3.6	9
	1.41	3.94	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)	3.73 ↓ (3.87)	8.56 ↓ (8.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
64.7%

Draw
24.6%

Marino de Luanco
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

23.2%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

9.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-36.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marino de Luanco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonesa - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Leonesa is Qualified for Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Leonesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leonesa is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.03.21	Covadonga - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.03.21	Leonesa - Langreo	3:1 ✺
24.02.21	Numancia - Leonesa	0:2 ✺
20.02.21	Burgos - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Leonesa - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLT
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.03.21	Marino de Luanco - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0 ✺
07.03.21	Marino de Luanco - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
21.02.21	Langreo - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Marino de Luanco - Burgos	3:0 ✺
07.02.21	Valladolid B - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.01.21	Marino de Luanco - Leonesa	0:2
12.04.15	Leonesa - Marino de Luanco	1:0
23.11.14	Marino de Luanco - Leonesa	3:0
11.05.14	Marino de Luanco - Leonesa	2:1
22.12.13	Leonesa - Marino de Luanco	0:2

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