Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	Covadonga		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.62
	5.5	3.55	1.58
	4.9	3.6	1.59
	5.34	3.86	1.64
	5	3.5	1.65
	4.9	3.8	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↑ (4.08)	3.62 ↑ (3.26)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covadonga
18.1%

Draw
25.3%

Leonesa
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

27.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.1%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Covadonga - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group)).

Covadonga is Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group)

Leonesa is Qualified for Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group)

Covadonga is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leonesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Covadonga have a series of guest games.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.03.21	Marino de Luanco - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
21.02.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	3:3 ✺
14.02.21	Covadonga - Langreo	0:1 ✺
10.02.21	Real Oviedo B - Covadonga	2:1 ✺
07.02.21	Burgos - Covadonga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTLLT
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.03.21	Leonesa - Langreo	3:1 ✺
24.02.21	Numancia - Leonesa	0:2 ✺
20.02.21	Burgos - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Leonesa - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
10.02.21	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.12.20	Leonesa - Covadonga	2:0
Club Friendly
19.07.18	Leonesa - Covadonga	4:0

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