Match Info

Date: 24 February 2021, Wednesday


	Numancia		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.6	3.3
	2.35	2.6	3.5
	2.28	2.5	3.55
	2.66	2.51	3.72
	2.55	2.45	3.4
	2.52	2.64	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.51)	2.55 ↓ (2.8)	3.46 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
37.5%

Draw
36%

Leonesa
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

34%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

25.2%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Numancia - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leonesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Numancia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Numancia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.02.21	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Covadonga - Numancia	0:3 ✺
30.01.21	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón B	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Numancia - Almería	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWTLL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.02.21	Burgos - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Leonesa - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
10.02.21	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón B	1:1 ✺
06.02.21	Real Oviedo B - Leonesa	1:3 ✺
31.01.21	Leonesa - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.20	Leonesa - Numancia	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
02.06.18	Numancia - Leonesa	2:1
07.01.18	Leonesa - Numancia	2:2

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