Match Info

Date: 14 February 2021, Sunday


	Marino de Luanco		Burgos

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.95	1.91
	3.8	3	1.95
	3.7	2.95	2
	4.03	3.04	2.11
	3.6	3	2.1
	3.7	3.24	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.1)	3.03 (3.03)	2.01 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
24.2%

Draw
30.2%

Burgos
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

29.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

20.9%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marino de Luanco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marino de Luanco - Burgos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Marino de Luanco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Burgos in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Burgos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Burgos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Marino de Luanco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.02.21	Valladolid B - Marino de Luanco	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Marino de Luanco - Real Oviedo B	2:1 ✺
24.01.21	Lealtad - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
16.01.21	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:0 ✺
09.01.21	Marino de Luanco - Leonesa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWL
- Burgos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.02.21	Burgos - Valladolid B	2:0 ✺
07.02.21	Burgos - Covadonga	2:2 ✺
31.01.21	Langreo - Burgos	1:2 ✺
23.01.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Burgos	0:2 ✺
10.01.21	Burgos - Real Oviedo B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.11.20	Burgos - Marino de Luanco	2:0
02.04.15	Marino de Luanco - Burgos	1:2
16.11.14	Burgos - Marino de Luanco	2:1
01.03.14	Burgos - Marino de Luanco	0:3
20.10.13	Marino de Luanco - Burgos	1:0

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