Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 39

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Referee: Morilla A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+, DSports 6
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albacete Balompié		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.25	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.33	3.35	3.32
	2.38	3.01	3.34	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.29	3.31	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.03)	3.2 ↓ (3.5)	3.2 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
41.4%

Draw
29.3%

Leonesa
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

26.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albacete Balompié's form might have worsened.

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albacete Balompié, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Albacete Balompié - Leonesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albacete: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino D. (G) 22. Lopez L. 23. Pepe 21. Neva C. 2. Lorenzo 17. Melendez A. (C) 8. Fernandez M. 6. Pacheco A. 3. Jogo 14. San Bartolome V. 10. Betancor J.	13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 16. Ribeiro T. 12. Al Amin H. 17. Calero I. 14. Bicho 22. Radoja N. 11. Moreno V. 19. Sobrino R. 10. Chacon L.
Substitutes
27. Bernabeu D. 26. Capi 15. Gamez F. 5. Moreno J. 20. Obeng S. 30. Ramos M. (G) 19. Rubio A. 18. Villar J.	1. Banuz M. (G) 36. Barzic M. 7. Collado D. 23. Diallo Selu M. 8. Gonzalez Y. 21. Hinojo R. 6. Maestre S. 26. Rafus A. (G) 15. Ribeiro L. 2. Rodriguez P. 3. Satrustegui E. 20. Tresaco R.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	de la Barrera R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Garcia V. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Betancor J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Sobrino R. ↓, Tresaco R. ↑,
56', Garcia V. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
60', Ribeiro T. ↓, Barzic M. ↑,
60', Radoja N. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
61', Lorenzo 🟨,
65', Jogo ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
65', Pepe ↓, Bernabeu D. ↑,
65', San Bartolome V. ↓, Rubio A. ↑,
72', Lorenzo ↓, Gamez F. ↑,
75', Moreno V. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
78', Betancor J. ↓, Capi ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Ribeiro L. ⚽, Tresaco R. (A),
88', 2 - 1, Capi ⚽, Bernabeu D. (A),
90+2', Calero I. 🟥,
90+5', Ribeiro L. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Albacete have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leonesa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Albacete might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Albacete: Agus Medina (Ankle Injury) Cedeno E. (Hamstring Injury) Lazo J. (Yellow Cards) Marin H. (Ankle Injury) Pepe (Injury) Puertas A. (Injury) Vallejo J. (Injury) Valverde V. (Injury) Villar J. (Injury)

There will not play in Leonesa: Ojeda T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Albacete won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	5:15	-10	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
01.05.26	FC Andorra - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Albacete Balompié - Eibar	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Albacete Balompié - Granada	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Albacete Balompié - Burgos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWWL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
02.05.26	Leonesa - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Mirandés - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Leonesa - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Granada - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Leonesa - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.10.25	Leonesa - Albacete Balompié	0:0
24.03.18	Albacete Balompié - Leonesa	0:0
23.10.17	Leonesa - Albacete Balompié	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.10.16	Leonesa - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ET

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