Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 6

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Leonesa		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.33
	1.68	3.2	4.6
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.79	3.43	4.69
	1.71	3.42	4.9
	1.73	3.35	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.69)	3.34 ↑ (3.02)	4.67 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
53.1%

Draw
27.4%

SD Logroñés
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

30.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

30.6%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Leonesa - SD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 20. Rodri Suarez 15. Fornos Q. 17. Martinez A. 7. Calderon C. 14. Bicho J. 10. Rey A. 8. Barri 11. Samanes S. 21. Rodri	1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 5. Aurtenetxe J. 4. Murua J. 3. Paredes J. 6. Elosegi G. 8. Castellano J. 22. Garrido D. 20. Sabater D. 19. Garcia T. 10. Rubio 17. Escobar J.
Substitutes
16. Berto 24. Carrasco S. (G) 4. Coch A. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 23. Gonzalez M. 9. Guillermo 19. Hanza D. 22. Muguruza J. 3. Pol J. 6. Presa K. 18. Solar M. 12. Toca N.	11. Carmona P. 14. Cova A. 16. Ezkurdia I. 7. Fernandez O. 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 18. Manny 23. Martinez E. 13. Marti O. (G) 2. Trespalacios A.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Leonesa have a series of guest games.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.09.23	Sestao - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Leonesa - Osasuna B	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Tarazona - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLW
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.09.23	SD Logroñés - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Sabadell - SD Logroñés	1:2 ✺
10.09.23	SD Logroñés - Sestao	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Arenteiro - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
27.08.23	SD Logroñés - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.03.22	Leonesa - SD Logroñés	2:2
12.11.21	SD Logroñés - Leonesa	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.02.14	Leonesa - SD Logroñés	2:1
29.09.13	SD Logroñés - Leonesa	3:1

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