Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Sestao		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.75	2.3
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.15	2.75	2.31
	3.5	2.93	2.52
	3.29	2.72	2.4	Watch
	3.36	2.85	2.38
	3.15	2.75	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.61)	2.81 ↓ (3.01)	2.35 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sestao
28.2%

Draw
32.7%

Leonesa
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.5%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

29.7%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestao's form might have worsened.

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-3%)

Sestao - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Herrerin I. (G) 21. Miranda A. 23. Efremov A. 12. Barandalla M. 22. Etxeberria M. 7. Planas A. 4. Relu 6. Gomez A. 14. Garcia S. 11. Etxaniz J. 10. Martinez Ortiz L.	1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 15. Ruiz V. 3. Satrustegui E. 4. Rodri Suarez 22. Pibe 16. Maestre S. 6. Presa K. 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M. 11. Samanes S.
Substitutes
2. Alvarez J. 9. Aznar D. 18. Cordoba A. 8. Garai G. 1. Garrido J. (G) 5. Martinez G. 30. Matar P. 19. Rojo J.	20. Alba T. 30. Alvarez A. 21. Artola J. 14. Bicho 7. Calderon C. 19. Escobar A. 5. Fornos Q. 17. Martinez A. 28. Ruiz A. 26. Ruiz J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Presa K. 🟨,
42', Samanes S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Chacon L. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
56', Samanes S. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Escobar A. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
66', Planas A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
66', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
71', Justo M. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
73', Relu ↓, Garai G. ↑,
73', Railing ↓, Rojo J. ↑,
81', Etxeberria M. ↓, Aznar D. ↑,
82', Presa K. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
82', Kid ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
86', Ruiz A. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Recent matches Sestao is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leonesa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sestao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Leonesa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sestao won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sestao won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.01.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Sestao	2:0 ✺
17.01.25	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
11.01.25	Ponferradina - Sestao	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Sestao - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Ourense CF - Sestao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLWWT
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.01.25	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3 ✺
19.01.25	Lugo - Leonesa	1:4 ✺
11.01.25	Leonesa - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Leonesa - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.11.24	Leonesa - Sestao	1:2
25.05.24	Leonesa - Sestao	0:1
23.09.23	Sestao - Leonesa	0:0

Upcoming Matches